Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.345652 0.401882 0.463911 0.537353 0.621873 0.716037 0.828847
2025-04-27 0.264812 0.343866 0.440508 0.567039 0.728028 0.925699 1.186514
2025-05-04 0.217157 0.305205 0.421019 0.583846 0.806150 1.098255 1.510343
2025-05-11 0.181930 0.272938 0.400065 0.589515 0.863425 1.243612 1.809635
2025-05-18 0.153802 0.244322 0.377589 0.586516 0.903954 1.365867 2.086107
2025-05-25 0.130933 0.219067 0.355134 0.578414 0.933103 1.471464 2.346183
2025-06-01 0.113567 0.199294 0.337540 0.574061 0.965326 1.582374 2.622977
2025-06-08 0.096669 0.177496 0.313325 0.555045 0.970443 1.649471 2.835143
2025-06-15 0.091819 0.175500 0.321353 0.590093 1.067673 1.873293 3.323500
2025-06-22 0.079338 0.157936 0.300077 0.571308 1.069827 1.937681 3.548168
2025-06-29 0.068926 0.142666 0.280811 0.553375 1.070656 1.998497 3.770606
2025-07-06 0.060531 0.130063 0.264794 0.539239 1.076214 2.067089 4.011910
2025-07-13 0.055349 0.123367 0.259589 0.545837 1.122772 2.217096 4.422445
2025-07-20 0.052969 0.122214 0.265269 0.574792 1.216212 2.464551 5.043014
2025-07-27 0.049633 0.118491 0.265168 0.591773 1.287284 2.675378 5.612285
2025-08-03 0.045670 0.112770 0.260083 0.597514 1.335565 2.845320 6.115659
2025-08-10 0.041468 0.105859 0.251493 0.594476 1.364607 2.978428 6.555397
2025-08-17 0.037375 0.098598 0.241179 0.586268 1.381310 3.087086 6.953608
2025-08-24 0.034003 0.092601 0.232993 0.581858 1.405751 3.213944 7.401754
2025-08-31 0.030098 0.084665 0.219210 0.562594 1.394096 3.261180 7.680080
2025-09-07 0.029710 0.085882 0.227771 0.598099 1.513823 3.609655 8.660369
2025-09-14 0.026433 0.078824 0.214859 0.579070 1.501347 3.658354 8.963883
2025-09-21 0.023563 0.072452 0.202876 0.560903 1.488874 3.705564 9.267723